Reflections on Father’s Day, 2015

It’s been five Father’s days, since I could call my father, and different aspects of remembrance guide my thoughts during each recurrence. Today, I am remembering life-long learning, and how he kept up until the end, when he could not remember anything.

Books, everywhere, were a key aspect of any house he lived in. There were built-in bookshelves in the living room, built-in bookshelves in all the hallways, built-in bookshelves in his office, and a high pile of books coming in, near his bed.

I was his ninth child, and so I did not get him full bore. A founder of the Society of Industrial Engineers, he spent the war improving production lines for liberty ships, and for mustangs, and for some things he still would not describe, at the end. He always feigned ignorance of computers, but his stories included things I later recognized as Whirlwind.

After 11 kids, some in college, some in boarding school, some. Like me in grammar school, he worked on his PhD in Mathematics. This was at one of the Pomona colleges, which turned the journey home into an Odyssey two nights a week. He would pick us up from the school playground at 5:15, and drive north from San Diego. We would stop at some take-out restaurant, notably a sandwich shop renowned for its “Torpedo Sandwiches”, and eat in the car. And then we would stay in the car. My older brothers would work on homework, my younger brother and I would squabble until we fell asleep, and after class broke up at 9:30, we would drive the hour home to the ranch outside of Escondido.

Years later, the Italian-Armenian sub-shop behind Ionics in Watertown, one of my first consulting customers, always tasted just right. I didn’t recognize until later that their aged sausages, sharp provolone, and tough bread reminded me of the Torpedo shop somewhere south of Pomona.

That was a small bit of his commitment to learning. Through most of us, he would order every book on the syllabus of each of his kids in college, if he had not read it already, and read it at the beginning of the semester. The quizzes at the table at Thanksgiving were likely to be more penetrating, and detailed, than any exams in the class.

I remember one semester of Russian History in which the reading list included two literary collections, one of Turgenev, and one of Pushkin. I bemoaned having to read a small short story from each. I was little prepared to discuss all the works, in detail. I did not make that mistake again, and took to reading the entire book.

When he retired, he resolved to read any book that was referenced in any of the founding works of Catholicism and the Enlightenment. No author, no matter how obscure, whether mentioned in the writings of Irenaeus or of John Chrysostom, or later in the works of Thomas Aquinas or Hugo Grotius escaped his list. One of the pleasures of his last visit, before he stopped travelling, was introducing him to an old bookstore in Durham, with an endless attic, in which he found a dozen books he had sought in Oxford and Cambridge (England and Massachusetts) and London and San Francisco, to no avail.

So this Father’s day, I am thinking of life-long learning. I am reflecting what a sterile self-indulgent introspection, of reading only like-minded like-experienced post-Marcusian scholars, that passes for scholarship in the college-town I work in today.

When I reflect on my father, and his appetite for everything humanity had written for all time, I then look at that the tiny slice of humanity that today arrogates to itself as bespeaking diversity, and, well words escape me.

This Father’s day, I have been thinking about life-long learning, and if I measure up. I have tried to catch up recently. This year I am re-reading all of Livvy, not just the highlights, and enjoying the first century historical perspective on the previous 500 years.

For light reading, I am jumping through the History of the British Navy that my son gave me for my birthday. For heavy reading I am wandering dispatch by dispatch through the Life of Marlborough. For the human touch, I am laughing my way through the oh-so-human Diaries of Samuel Pepys, as he started his career that ended as secretary of the Navy and then secretary of the Admiralty. These perspectives and time-lines bounce off each other in ways that keep me pondering how the modern world was built.

Yet I knew he would have read the same and more, and in less time.

Life-long learning is a habit of mind, and a gift from my Father, one that gives long after he is gone. I hope I gave some of it to my kids. Habits of thought, and habits of knowledge is the only thing that we really give our kids—and we all turn too much of it over to third parties, to professionals, who too often toss away our patrimony. It is the gift from my father that gives me most pleasure today. I hope I was able to give it to my own children.

Leaving IB-CON with Microgrids and DC Distribution in mind

I write (and post,you have to be amazed at the technology we so take for granted) this on a plane flying away from a great IB-Con, the REALCOM Intelligent Buildings Conference. It is a trade show like no other, with deep involvement of both the technology leaders in Real Estate, i.e. CIOs and CTOs of the largest REITs and those that would sell to them. The panel discussions were embued with new issues tied to deep adoption of IT not only into the corporate operations of estate, but into the operations of the hidden systems within.

Deep analytics and deep security concerning embedded systems, BAS and others were recurring themes this year. There were frank discussions of using the BAS to get to corporate information, and of using hacks to destroy building internal operations. There was just enough White Hat “think like a hacker” to keep the talks interesting.

But what really stands out at REALCOMM in the focus on emerging technologies. Jim Young and Howard Berger have a genuine interest in start-ups, identifying the ones that could do a lot of good, and helping them to meet their early hurdles. New companies may get coached on messaging and presentation. They go out of their way to introduce potential risk-takers with the new technologies. I have even listened in as companies just out of angel funding get coached through their next steps. The unseen services these two provide are immense.

On the other side, they create a real community among the technologists on the ownership side of real estate. Some come back year after year to challenge each other with the changing world of real estate. I have written here before of the challenges of setting up start-up office for millennials, of coffee shops and food trucks replacing the in-house conference rooms and in-house sandwich shop.

Some of these owners have set up their own coaching for new tenants, helping them with marketing, and financial planning, and other topics the young founder of a new venture may not know. At one level, this is raw self-interest, for a tenant that goes out of business is a tenant that breaks his lease. But at another level, and I think a truer level, it is a commitment to helping other flourish, so long as they learn and work hard, so that we all flourish. And I think this commitment and community starts with Jim and Howard.

My most immediate concerns this year were microgrids and semantic frameworks, as well as the Energy Mashup Lab. These topics are no surprise to my regular readers.

A moderated a microgrid session with CleanSpark and Stem, two technical companies with quite different focuses. Because another vendor, an early start-up, dropped out, I expanded my own comments on personal microgrids. What was remarkable was how each participant agreed on the big issues, the big benefits, and the driving forces. As an industry, microgrids are now know where they are going. Years ago, I moderated similar sessions, and the speakers were coming out of the labs, with vision, but not yet much delivery. Today, either of them, and maybe a dozen more vendors, can deliver systems out of the box.

Those systems are quite different though. They share a commonality of benefits: lasting reduction of energy risk, capabilities to work with real energy markets to reduce costs, a capability of consuming local storage for local purposes rather than the dead end of net metering, and privacy and security for the building and its occupants. The prices are coming down, leading to three-to-five year ROIs on pure energy costs without pricing the other elements. The risk is now low. The question is now moving toward “Does a microgrid make sense in this state with these regulations?”…and regulatory frameworks are starting to predominate. Keep an eye on these technologies, because if you have a site with greater than average price risk, or reliability risk, or security risk, you should be considering a microgrid now.

At the end of the day, I finished in a discussion of low voltage DC lighting. Again, long-time readers know I have been enthused by this technology for five years. It is now coming to market (LumenCache) with standard parts, standard high-performance LEDs, modular component s anyone can install and maintain. I hope to learn more about this company and its products in the weeks ahead.

Which makes me look ahead. Is it time, at last, for the eMerge alliance, and for DC-based distribution inside the building to come to the fore? Storage (batteries) are DC. Solar PEV is DC. Digital electronics and LEDs are DC. With less need for heat shields and conversion, LEDs are cheaper, safer, and more reliable. Without the need to convert from DC to Ac to DC (storage) and from DC to AC to DC (storage to use), there is a 30% “free” increase in efficiency. With enough distributed energy generation, DC power, as Edison thought it should be, may be back.

That’s all for now. I’m tired and travelling.

The Right Time at the Right Place

Smart Energy uses schedule negotiation and schedule coordination to operate systems and equipment at the right time to take maximum advantage of variable energy supplies. As the internet of things grows up, it will move from gathering data from sensors to coordinating things to enhance our lives. The future of business breaks down into smaller entities with stronger missions that coordinate activities over time to support customers as if by a single business, only better. We all took steps closer to these seemingly simple coordination results, at a meeting at AOL headquarters.

For the last decade, the Calendaring and Scheduling Consortium (CalConnect) has worked to improve the interoperation of tools that coordinate schedules. We use their standards to run our personal and business lives, every time we accept a meeting request by email. Their work is critical to smart buildings and smart grids. This week, they demonstrated how to extend this work to support live machine to machine (M2M) schedule negotiations, including schedule auctions. My mind is buzzing with the implications.

Representatives of the US Veterans Administration (VA) were at CalConnect this week. The VA is in the news and under fire this week for failures related to scheduling and appointments. One can look to procedures and people and motivation, but under all is a cumbersome system that makes it difficult to accomplish some essential scheduling functions. These problems encourage employees to augment the system with a variety of out-of-system manual processes. These manual processes present opportunities both for mistakes and for gaming. Tragically, there was some of both.

VA management recognized the problems with scheduling systems well before the current scandals. It takes time to change anything so big. Last year, the VA held a competition to demonstrate standards-based approaches that could not only address the problems they have now, but can also prepare for more powerful stresses on their systems in the future. But knowing they had problems was not the same as knowing where and who the problems were. We have all found that out publicly in the last few weeks.

The story of the VA and open standards and how they hope to transform their monolithic systems in agile systems able to embrace outsourcing, insourcing, and distributed operations, is too long to fit here. I will write of it soon. I had the privilege of contributing to one of the competitors (my team came in third).  This week, the VA and those who hope to work with the VA were at CalConnect.  

CalConnect, now a decade old, ebbs and flows as does any organization. CalConnect was founded in a flurry of activity to address minimum capability cell phones, and worked through such problems as coordinating recurring meetings on a device too limited to compute once-a-week meetings. Today’s phones are more capable than personal computers then, and CalConnect has moved on to the problems of personal calendars in the age of social media. Calendar federation and social coordination bring new challenges.

Five years ago, CalConnect led the refresh of the aging standards for calendar information. iCalendar (RFC5545) is flexible and extensible, and describes key semantics and essential structure for everything you might see in your personal calendar. ITIP (RFC 5546) describes how to negotiate information between calendar-aware systems. You use it not only when you accept an email invitation, but also when that meeting is moved or cancelled.

Three years ago, CalConnect produced vAvailability, now moving to a standard in the IETF. (The Internet Engineering Task Force is the organization that manages the key specifications and communications of the internet.) . VAvailability is used in smart energy to advertise changing schedules for energy supply and for demand response. EMIX (Energy Market Information Exchange) defines contracts for Energy Reserves as financial options linked to vAvailability. OASIS developed WS-Calendar in close coordination with CalConnect.

But that is in the past. This week was exciting for the demonstration of new work that expands the tools for schedule coordination.

This week at CalConnect, multiple organizations demonstrated working interchanges of live schedule negotiations and schedule auctions. I will write more about the new standards such vPoll, CardDAV, and iSchedule later. The news is that this week CalConnect demonstrated three-server three-organization demonstration of standards-based schedule polling and auctions. The essential interactions for resource advertising and exchange were front and center. Direct server-to-server communications of schedules without the usual email were demonstrated, along with specific hooks for authorized interactions between web sites and personal calendars, and between trusted business partners.

Distributed schedule-based auctions are at the core of smart energy, including the budding efforts for interoperable transactive energy agents.

Standards-based scheduling engines will expand the reach and availability of specialized veteran’s services for today’s more mobile population. Open specifications for schedule negotiation can support more efficient and auditable queuing of complex scheduling requirements to be performed by multiple clinics. Distributed schedule-abased auctions will enable the VA to expand services and schedules to incorporate community resources far from the big VA Hospitals.

The next step of computer service is schedules for systems big and small to interact with our lives. The next step of business is improved provision of services across multiple businesses acting a single personal concierge, in medicine and in other personal services.

The tools for this were demonstrated at CalConnect this week. This work has powerful implications for smart energy, for medical scheduling, academic scheduling, and for social media. More later.

CalConnect invites interested organizations and companies to join CalConnect in moving the work
forward. www.calconnect.org

Smart Energy with a little bit of Seoul.

My visit to Seoul this month was fascinating. The country of Korea built its infrastructure essentially from scratch in the last 50 years, and in doing so was able to use modern technology to challenge some fundamental assumptions that we make in the USA. IP-based telephony predominates based on pervasive free Wi-Fi. Custom tailors use radical outsourcing mediated by IT to provide near-instant services. The National Virtual Power Plant (NVPP) is as up-to-date as any, while using big-data tools in ways not often seen here. There is a desire to embrace the new without fear that seems young and fresh in the way the US often does not. But somehow, the single observation that stays with me is how the use of IT to challenges our assumptions about natural monopolies.

The Seoul Metropolitan Subway system is by far the best I have been on. The signage is unusually good. Many stations have large interactive maps. Every car has digital signs that display the next station in multiple languages. Music plays on the platforms to warn of each impending arrival. In the winter, automatic seat warmers make even the ride itself pleasanter than expected.

The fare system is seamless. The system pioneered in Seoul is now used in many US systems: a card, a wave in, and a wave out, and a charge based on beginning and ending stations. The systems to add money to your fare card will tell you the remaining balance instantly, without inserting the card, or needing to punch buttons. Unlike in the US, every station has prominent stations on which to drop your card and get cash back. The $0.50 deposit on the card itself is just as easy to get back. There is even competition for these cards as three subway cards, one credit card, and several debit cards can be used interchangeably with your transit card. In short, it is customer focused, consumer friendly, and feels like anything but the bureaucratic experience it is in the US.

The high-tech experience extends into the amenities as well. Subways in the US are often dead zones. In Seoul, each line provides choices of digital connectivity: 4G, WiFi, DMB, and WiBro. This supports the widespread use of IP-telephony in Seoul; without the legacy commitment to lines, almost every smart phone uses the almost universal WiFi. (More on that later.)

All of this is supported by an easy to use App, one that puts the well-regarded BART App to shame. The free App, available for all the usual platforms, works out routes and provides station by station information with precise departure and arrival times. The cost for each route and stop is computed and displayed in advance. A potential rider always knows whether to rush, and when he will arrive.

In the US, this would all be delivered through a semi-private agency, a Transit Authority. In the Seoul, the nineteen subway lines are built and operated by ten separate companies. Some routes may have a higher cost per kilometer, or per station, but that information is readily available before your ride. Fares are automatically allocated to the different companies based on the same services that compute the entire fare. With appropriate use of IT, the multi-vendor service is provided as if through a single provider.

Regular readers may recognize that this is the model of Transactive Energy.

The Seoul Metropolitan Subway system tears down assumptions about how natural are our regulated natural monopolies. To someone who considers the smart grid, it stirs re-thinking of how we consider last mile distribution in a distributed energy world. Just as South Korean phones use the connectionless protocols of the internet to avoid considerable high-cost build out of telecommunications infrastructure, transactive energy and distributed energy can provide better service at lower costs.

To gain these advantages, we must embrace the distributed multi-supplier business models that enable them. Trust capitalism. Embrace minimal market design to limit friction when changing suppliers several times a day if desired. Use IT to smooth any bumps in transition. I’ve written about this in papers on microgrids and autonomous power nodes. It was nice to see it in the field.